This project responded to the request for services to support the Mission Board “Adaptation to Climate Change including Societal Transformation” in the context of the Framework Contract 2018/RTD/A2/OP/PP-07001-2018-LOT1. The overarching goal of the project was to support the reflections of the Mission Board bearing the same name.
The EC had established Mission Boards consisting of about 15 outstanding members in each of the five Mission Areas. Mission Board members were appointed in August 2019 and started their work in September/October 2019.
This foresight project was set within this context, aiming to support the reflections of the Mission Board on Adaptation to Climate Change including Social Transformation by providing future-oriented inputs on challenges and options in the respective areas. It was meant to complement the Mission Boards’ deep and wide-ranging expertise by exploring longer-term time horizon, which – in the case of Adaptation to Climate Change including Societal Transformation – may well extend to the year 2050. Building on existing future-oriented work, the project employed dedicated foresight methods, in particular workshops and a Delphi survey, to explore this time horizon in a systematic manner, and involving experts and stakeholders as appropriate.
The team at ZSI led the project which undertook, together with its project partners, the following activities:
- management of stakeholder engagement
- conducting a scoping exercise consisting of
- identification of sources (scientific literature, policy analyses, etc.)
- systematic analysis of foresight sources
- drafting a foresight scoping paper
- conducting stakeholder interviews
- identifying trends and drivers
- identifying R&I gaps
- conducting a foresight workshop on Climate Change Adaptation, focussing on
- vectors of disease
- water stress
- heat and mental health
- crop failures and nutrition
- realisation of an online real-time delphi
- compilation of the final report
The ZSI team was also responsible for the quality assurance of all processes and outputs generated.
